Model Predictions & Odds· 490 markets
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
$15.9m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$259k today
Ends in about 11 hours
$15.9m Vol.🔥$259k today$1.5m Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
100%
Anthropic
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$801k Vol.
$144k Liq.
🔥$159k today
Ends in about 1 month
$801k Vol.🔥$159k today$144k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
84%
Anthropic
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
$1.4m Vol.
$79k Liq.
🔥$77k today
24
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.🔥$77k today$79k Liq.24Ends in 3 months
28%
OpenAI
Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
$1.1m Vol.
$168k Liq.
20
Ends in about 11 hours
$1.1m Vol.$168k Liq.20Ends in about 11 hours
99%
OpenAI
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$1.0m Vol.
$114k Liq.
1
Ends in about 11 hours
$1.0m Vol.$114k Liq.1Ends in about 11 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has best AI model end of June?
$2.9m Vol.
$457k Liq.
63
Ends in 3 months
$2.9m Vol.$457k Liq.63Ends in 3 months
66%
Anthropic
Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$543k Vol.
$73k Liq.
2
Ends in about 11 hours
$543k Vol.$73k Liq.2Ends in about 11 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has the best AI model end of April?
$2.7m Vol.
$430k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2.7m Vol.$430k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
89%
Anthropic
Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$384k Vol.
$68k Liq.
2
Ends in about 11 hours
$384k Vol.$68k Liq.2Ends in about 11 hours
97%
Which company has the second best AI model end of March?
$621k Vol.
$107k Liq.
1
Ends in about 11 hours
$621k Vol.$107k Liq.1Ends in about 11 hours
99%
Anthropic
Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?
$488k Vol.
$60k Liq.
3
Ends in about 11 hours
$488k Vol.$60k Liq.3Ends in about 11 hours
99%
OpenAI
Which company has the third best AI model end of March?
$526k Vol.
$94k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$526k Vol.$94k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
99%
Which company has the third best AI model end of April?
$88k Vol.
$96k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$88k Vol.$96k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
64%
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
$27k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$27k Vol.$1k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$12k Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$58k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Anthropic
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
$333k Vol.
$121k Liq.
52
Ends in 3 months
$333k Vol.$121k Liq.52Ends in 3 months
50%
Anthropic
Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$7k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
41%
Which company has the second best AI model end of April?
$13k Vol.
$100k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$13k Vol.$100k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
80%
Anthropic
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
$70k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$70k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
$475k Vol.
$178k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$475k Vol.$178k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
49%
Anthropic