Gpt Predictions & Odds· 200 markets
What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model?
$10.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
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December 11
April 15
80–81%
Will any AI reach $50k in Alpha Arena AI trading competition?
$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
$37k Vol.$0 Liq.7Ended
No
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on...?
$693k Vol.
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73
Ended
$693k Vol.$0 Liq.73Ended
October 15
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?
$537k Vol.
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Ended
$537k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
No
Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?
$611k Vol.
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17
Ends in 3 months
$611k Vol.$0 Liq.17Ends in 3 months
Anthropic
Which company has second best AI model end of December?
$2.0m Vol.
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51
Ended
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Which company has second best AI model end of November?
$2.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
51
Ended
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Sora by OpenAI
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?
$1.2m Vol.
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35
Ended
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Sora by OpenAI
machine learning · technology
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
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19
Ended
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December 31