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Gpt 4 Predictions & Odds· 119 markets

AllRelease DateTechnologyScienceBusinessSam AltmanTech IndustryAIGpt 4Machine LearningTech NewsOpenAIGrokAnthropicAI TechnologyCultureGoogleGpt 4.5Artificial IntelligenceTechTech PredictionsOpen AIBusiness NewsMagazinePotyParlays2025 PredictionsDeepSeekXAIBig TechTBPNGPT 5AlibabaAlpha ArenaGemini 3
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?

machine learning · technology

Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?

$144k Vol.
$0 Liq.
19
Ended
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April?

artificial intelligence · technology

Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April?

$22k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?

All

Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?

$121k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

GPT 4.5 released by...?

sam altman · AI

GPT 4.5 released by...?

$214k Vol.
$0 Liq.
84
Ended

February 28

What day will GPT-5 be released…?

Tech·OpenAI

What day will GPT-5 be released…?

$2.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
330
Ended

August 7

GPT transaction fees by December 31?

Tech·Business News

GPT transaction fees by December 31?

$26k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

GPT ads by...?

ai technology · Business

GPT ads by...?

$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
206
Ends in about 15 hours

March 31

GPT-5 released in 2024?

OpenAI · AI

GPT-5 released in 2024?

$754k Vol.
$0 Liq.
36
Ended

No

GPT-5.4 released by...?

Tech·AI

GPT-5.4 released by...?

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
146

March 16

GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Tech·GPT-5

GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

$76k Vol.
$0 Liq.
30
Ended

No

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

Tech·Big Tech

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

$169k Vol.
$0 Liq.
36
Ended

Yes

Alpha Arena Season 1.5 AI trading competition biggest loser?

Tech·AI

Alpha Arena Season 1.5 AI trading competition biggest loser?

$103k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1

xAI

Alpha Arena Season 1.5 AI trading competition winner?

Tech·AI

Alpha Arena Season 1.5 AI trading competition winner?

$350k Vol.
$0 Liq.
72

Unknown

Alpha Arena AI trading competition biggest loser?

Tech·AI

Alpha Arena AI trading competition biggest loser?

$239k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

OpenAI

Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?

Tech·Business

Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?

$1.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
87
Ended

Alibaba

GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by...?

Tech·AI

GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by...?

$35k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended

December 31

GPT-5.3 released by...?

Tech·OpenAI

GPT-5.3 released by...?

$797k Vol.
$0 Liq.
175
Ends in about 15 hours

March 31

GPT-5 released by…?

Tech·OpenAI

GPT-5 released by…?

$7.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,022
Ended

December 31

When will GPT-5 be announced?

AI · Science

When will GPT-5 be announced?

$1.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
78
Ended

2025 or later

GPT-5.3 released by...?

Tech·OpenAI

GPT-5.3 released by...?

$278k Vol.
$0 Liq.
24
Ended

February 28