Gpt 4 Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
82%
December 31, 2026
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$3k Vol.
$805 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$3k Vol.$805 Liq.1Ends in 3 months
45%
Yes
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$18k Vol.
$930 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$18k Vol.$930 Liq.4Ends in 3 months
57%
60%+
6%
Yes
63%
April 17
49%
June 30
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$668k Vol.
$15k Liq.
10
Ends in 12 months
$668k Vol.$15k Liq.10Ends in 12 months
43%
1
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B
$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$5k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Skele
77%
April 30
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
$30k Vol.
$9k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$9k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
17%
Yes
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage
$0 Vol.
$123 Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$0 Vol.$123 Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
50%
Rune Eaters
Will Factset Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?
$3k Vol.
$877 Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
$3k Vol.$877 Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
76%
Yes
30%
Yes
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Atputies vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B
$537 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$537 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
22%
Atputies
Soccer · Sports
English Premier League - Top 4 Finish
$1.2m Vol.
$144k Liq.
19
Ends in about 2 months
$1.2m Vol.$144k Liq.19Ends in about 2 months
100%
Arsenal
71%
June 30