Gemini 3 Predictions & Odds· 113 markets
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
$30k Vol.
$15k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$15k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
17%
Yes
Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$49k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$49k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 3 months
94%
40%+
Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$203k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$203k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
95%
40%+
Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$404k Vol.
$66k Liq.
2
Ends in about 7 hours
$404k Vol.$66k Liq.2Ends in about 7 hours
95%
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
$15.9m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$223k today
Ends in about 7 hours
$15.9m Vol.🔥$223k today$1.5m Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
100%
Anthropic
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$1.0m Vol.
$114k Liq.
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$1.0m Vol.$114k Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
99%
Anthropic
Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$544k Vol.
$76k Liq.
2
Ends in about 7 hours
$544k Vol.$76k Liq.2Ends in about 7 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has the second best AI model end of March?
$625k Vol.
$106k Liq.
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$625k Vol.$106k Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
99%
Anthropic
Which company has the third best AI model end of March?
$526k Vol.
$92k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$526k Vol.$92k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
99%
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
$809k Vol.
$100k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$809k Vol.$100k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
44%
June 30
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$16k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$16k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
99%
ChatGPT
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$5k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$5k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
95%
Claude by Anthropic
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$1k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$1k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 15 days
82%
April 15
Gulf State military action against Iran by...?
$6k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$6k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
26%
April 30
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Omega vs G2 Ares (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs
$3k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$3k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
35%
Omega
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
$9k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
73%
April 9
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
$63k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$63k Vol.$36k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
98%
March 28
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$56k Vol.
$1k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$56k Vol.$1k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
56%
Yes
49%
June 30
Esports · Valorant
Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Joblife GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$8k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby