Gemini Ultra Predictions & Odds· 109 markets
G
Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$64k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$64k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 3 months
94%
40%+
G
Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$264k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$264k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
93%
40%+
G
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
$30k Vol.
$8k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$8k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
19%
Yes
G
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
$824k Vol.
$40k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$824k Vol.$40k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
31%
June 30
B
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$19k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
$19k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 13 days
85%
April 15
#
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?
$13k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$13k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
99%
ChatGPT
#
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?
$9k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$9k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
97%
Claude by Anthropic
M
51%
Yes
C
59%
June 30
N
41%
Yes
C
57%
June 30
A
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$56k Vol.
$2k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$56k Vol.$2k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
75%
Yes
W
Will Unit launch a token by ___ ?
$51k Vol.
$7k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$51k Vol.$7k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
51%
December 31, 2027
A
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$191k Vol.
$24k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$191k Vol.$24k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
96%
35%+
V
Esports · Valorant
Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Joblife GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$8k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby
I
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
$12k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$12k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 28 days
96%
April 1
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
$599k Vol.
$38k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$599k Vol.$38k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
16%
↑ $3
G
Gulf State military action against Iran by...?
$70k Vol.
$41k Liq.
2
Ends in 28 days
$70k Vol.$41k Liq.2Ends in 28 days
20%
April 30
I
100%
March 28