Gemini Predictions & Odds· 287 markets
Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$49k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$49k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 3 months
94%
40%+
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
$30k Vol.
$15k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$15k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
17%
Yes
Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$203k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$203k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
95%
40%+
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
$807k Vol.
$79k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$807k Vol.$79k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
46%
June 30
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$1k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$1k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 15 days
77%
April 15
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
$15.9m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$259k today
Ends in about 11 hours
$15.9m Vol.🔥$259k today$1.5m Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
100%
Anthropic
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$1.0m Vol.
$113k Liq.
1
Ends in about 11 hours
$1.0m Vol.$113k Liq.1Ends in about 11 hours
99%
Anthropic
Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$544k Vol.
$76k Liq.
2
Ends in about 11 hours
$544k Vol.$76k Liq.2Ends in about 11 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$384k Vol.
$70k Liq.
2
Ends in about 11 hours
$384k Vol.$70k Liq.2Ends in about 11 hours
97%
Which company has the second best AI model end of March?
$621k Vol.
$107k Liq.
1
Ends in about 11 hours
$621k Vol.$107k Liq.1Ends in about 11 hours
99%
Anthropic
Which company has the third best AI model end of March?
$526k Vol.
$95k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$526k Vol.$95k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
99%
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$15k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
99%
ChatGPT
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$5k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$5k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
96%
Claude by Anthropic
46%
Yes
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
$595k Vol.
$34k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$595k Vol.$34k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
17%
↑ $4
What price will Aster hit in 2026?
$64k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$64k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
72%
↓ 0.40
gemini · images
Will Gemini generate images of people again in February?
$34k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$34k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
No
Gemini 3 score on FrontierMath Benchmark by January 31?
$2.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
$2.0m Vol.$0 Liq.1Ended
40%+
Sora by OpenAI
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?
$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
35
Ended
$1.2m Vol.$0 Liq.35Ended
Sora by OpenAI