German Politics Predictions & Odds· 140 markets

Berlin State Election Winner

Berlin State Election Winner

$2.5m Vol.
$93k Liq.
🔥$186k today
8
Ends in 6 months

53%

CDU

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

$520k Vol.
$94k Liq.
Ends in 5 months

89%

AfD

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

$133k Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in 6 months

85%

AfD

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place

$39k Vol.
$54k Liq.
3
Ends in 5 months

87%

CDU

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

$34k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

14%

Yes

Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

$8.8m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$161k today
353
Ends in 3 months

50%

Candidate M

 Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

$1.8m Vol.
$298k Liq.
5
Ends in 2 months

74%

Iván Cepeda Castro

La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)

La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)

$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ended

51%

Luis Antonio Revilla

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

$53k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

14%

Yes

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31?

$29k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours

0%

Yes

German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?

German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?

$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
506
Ended

Yes

Germany Parliamentary Election Winner

Germany Parliamentary Election Winner

$134.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,547
Ended

CDU/CSU

Germany confidence vote in 2024?

Germany confidence vote in 2024?

$387k Vol.
$0 Liq.
110
Ended

Yes

Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?

Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?

$627k Vol.
$0 Liq.
67
Ended

No

Next Chancellor of Germany?

Next Chancellor of Germany?

$40.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
930
Ended

Friedrich Merz (CDU)

Which Parties will be part of next German Government?

Which Parties will be part of next German Government?

$9.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
284
Ended

CDU/CSU

SPD % of vote in German Election?

SPD % of vote in German Election?

$6.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
41
Ended

15-20%

FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?

FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?

$736k Vol.
$0 Liq.
139
Ended

No

CDU/CSU % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]

28-30%