Gerrymander Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$229k Vol.
$43k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days
$229k Vol.$43k Liq.5Ends in 21 days
84%
Yes
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
$0 Vol.
$381 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$381 Liq.Ends in 7 months
77%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$15k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$15k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$198k Vol.
$83k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$198k Vol.$83k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
31%
Below 190
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$9k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
20%
115-120m
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$5k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes
# of Republican House seats after Election? (brackets)
$1.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
36
Ended
$1.6m Vol.$0 Liq.36Ended
220-224
<125
UK Election · Global Elections
UK Election: Labour % of the vote?
$113k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
$113k Vol.$0 Liq.4Ended
30-35%
Wednesday, Nov 6
Clark, NV (Las Vegas)
Netherlands General Election: Which party will win the most seats?
$52k Vol.
$0 Liq.
40
Ended
$52k Vol.$0 Liq.40Ended
PVV
Conservatives