Gov Shutdown Predictions & Odds· 620 markets
When will the DHS shutdown end?
$522k Vol.
$130k Liq.
🔥$92k today
Ends in about 1 month
$522k Vol.🔥$92k today$130k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
25%
April 13-16
When will the DHS shutdown end?
$1.6m Vol.
$81k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$1.6m Vol.$81k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
100%
After March 31
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$210k Vol.
$21k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$210k Vol.$21k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?
$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$3k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 5 days
35%
17.5-18m
0%
3.2M-3.4M
0%
3.0M-3.2M
0%
19-19.5m
1%
Yes
96%
<6,000
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$80k Vol.
$53k Liq.
1
Ends in about 8 hours
$80k Vol.$53k Liq.1Ends in about 8 hours
10%
Jacky Rosen
1%
Yes
56%
5,500-6,000
Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?
$473 Vol.
$219 Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$473 Vol.$219 Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
21%
Yes
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
$551k Vol.
$12k Liq.
26
Ends in about 8 hours
$551k Vol.$12k Liq.26Ends in about 8 hours
51%
December 31, 2026
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
25%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
$7k Vol.
$831 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$831 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31, 2026