Human Implant Predictions & Odds· 115 markets
Human moon landing in 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$34k Liq.
24
Ends in 9 months
$1.9m Vol.$34k Liq.24Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
health · Science
Nipah virus in US by March 31?
$46k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in about 5 hours
$46k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
$78k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$78k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
15%
Yes
Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?
$155k Vol.
$29k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
$155k Vol.$29k Liq.12Ends in 3 months
91%
Miami
How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?
$92k Vol.
$22k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$92k Vol.$22k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
42%
12+
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
$73k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$73k Vol.$5k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
43%
Yes
Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?
$3k Vol.
$889 Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$3k Vol.$889 Liq.9Ends in 3 months
61%
Yes
45%
Yes
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$241k Vol.
$8k Liq.
32
Ended
$241k Vol.$8k Liq.32Ended
44%
December 31, 2026
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$15k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$15k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
1%
Yes
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$437k Liq.
257
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$437k Liq.257Ends in 3 months
44%
>$600M
Crypto
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?
$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
86%
50
60%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
3%
Yes
97%
April 30
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
$46k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$3k Vol.
$943 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$3k Vol.$943 Liq.1Ends in 3 months
44%
Yes