Humanitarian Pause Predictions & Odds

Politics·Israel

Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?

$53k Vol.

$0 Liq.

12

Ended

Yes

Politics·us

US call for Gaza ceasefire before February?

$49k Vol.

$0 Liq.

1

Ended

No

Politics·us

US call for Gaza ceasefire before March?

$75k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

Yes

Politics·Lebanon

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

$40.1m Vol.

$0 Liq.

5,948

Ended

Yes

Politics·Middle East

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September?

$184k Vol.

$0 Liq.

4

Ended

No

Politics·Trump 100 Days

Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?

$1.2m Vol.

$0 Liq.

33

Ended

Yes

Politics·Israel

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

$5.3m Vol.

$0 Liq.

11,927

Ended

No

World·zelensky

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

$7.0m Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

No

World·Venezuela

US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?

$106k Vol.

$0 Liq.

2

Ended

No

Geopolitics·2025 Predictions

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

$73.8m Vol.

$0 Liq.

20,371

Ended

No

Politics·Ukraine

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?

$245k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

No

Geopolitics·Thailand-Cambodia

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...?

$1.8m Vol.

$0 Liq.

596

Ended

December 31

World·Trump-Zelenskyy

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

$27.0m Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

No

Politics·Ukraine

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?

$4.9m Vol.

$0 Liq.

233

Ended

No

Politics·Gaza

When will Israel announce ceasefire?

$11.2m Vol.

$0 Liq.

1,242

October 8

Politics·Israel

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?

$1.2m Vol.

$0 Liq.

2,643

Ended

No

Geopolitics·Israel

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?

$5.9m Vol.

$0 Liq.

3,177

Ended

Yes

Geopolitics·Gaza

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?

$2.0m Vol.

$0 Liq.

3,177

Ended

Yes

Geopolitics·Gaza

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 23?

$1.1m Vol.

$0 Liq.

3,745

Ended

No

Geopolitics·Gaza

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

$6.7m Vol.

$0 Liq.

3,746

Ended

Yes

Humanitarian Pause Predictions & Odds· 175 markets

Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?

US call for Gaza ceasefire before February?

US call for Gaza ceasefire before March?

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September?

Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?

When will Israel announce ceasefire?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 23?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

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