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Humanitarian Pause Predictions & Odds· 167 markets

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W
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?

Politics·Israel

Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?

$53k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended

Yes

U
US call for Gaza ceasefire before February?

Politics·us

US call for Gaza ceasefire before February?

$49k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

U
US call for Gaza ceasefire before March?

Politics·us

US call for Gaza ceasefire before March?

$75k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

I
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Politics·Lebanon

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

$40.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
5,948
Ended

Yes

I
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September?

Politics·Middle East

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September?

$184k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

No

T
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?

Politics·Trump 100 Days

Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?

$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended

Yes

I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Politics·Israel

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

$5.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
11,927
Ended

No

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
20,364
Ended

No

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

World·zelensky

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

$7.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

U
US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?

World·Venezuela

US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?

$106k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Geopolitics·2025 Predictions

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

$73.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
20,371
Ended

No

U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?

Politics·Ukraine

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?

$245k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

T
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...?

Geopolitics·Thailand-Cambodia

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...?

$1.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
596
Ended

December 31

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

World·Trump-Zelenskyy

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

$27.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

Politics·Foreign Policy

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

$389k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?

Politics·Ukraine

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?

$4.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
233
Ended

No

W
When will Israel announce ceasefire?

Politics·Gaza

When will Israel announce ceasefire?

$11.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,242

October 8

I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?

Politics·Israel

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?

$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
2,643
Ended

No

I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?

Geopolitics·Israel

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?

$5.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
3,177
Ended

Yes

I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?

Geopolitics·Gaza

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?

$2.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
3,177
Ended

Yes