Humanoid Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
W
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
$69k Vol.
$21k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$69k Vol.$21k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
14%
December 31
W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$51k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
$51k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in over 1 year
57%
Anthropic
M
51%
Yes
C
6%
Yes
C
57%
June 30
A
3%
Yes
C
66%
April 17
L
Esports · league of legends
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
$0 Vol.
$580 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$0 Vol.$580 Liq.Ends in 5 days
71%
GIANTX
A
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$927k Vol.
$106k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$927k Vol.$106k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
97%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
A
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
$28k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$8k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
L
Esports · league of legends
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
$5k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$5k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 2 days
56%
Team WE
A
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$99k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
$99k Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in over 1 year
55%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
L
Esports · league of legends
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season
$32 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$32 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 3 days
74%
RED Canids
C
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs
$14k Vol.
$117k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$14k Vol.$117k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
28%
Team Nemesis
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$7k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
C
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs 5star (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #3 Playoffs
$0 Vol.
$922 Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
$0 Vol.$922 Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
76%
Chinggis Warriors
L
Esports · league of legends
LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO1) - LIT Regular Season
$136 Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$136 Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
73%
HMBLE
A
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$190k Vol.
$25k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$190k Vol.$25k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
96%
35%+
A
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$56k Vol.
$2k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$56k Vol.$2k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
74%
Yes