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AllPoliticsFuture EventsGazaIranWarInternational RelationsUSNuclear WeaponsSecurityRussiaUkraineTrumpHamasOil IndustryRefineryIsraelU.S. PoliticsSwedenNatoMilitaryVenezuelaHostagesStrait Of HormuzCeasefireZelenskyMilitary ActionsPeaceGuyanaYahya SinwarF 16sDefenseLebanonInternational LawGenocideIcjAlaskaMilitary InvasionFranceDOGETrump PresidencyInternational PoliticsTrump 100 DaysInternational DevelopmentExecutive ActionsFirst 100 DaysHormuz
N
Next Prime Minister of France?

Politics·France

Next Prime Minister of France?

$815k Vol.
$0 Liq.
38
Ended

François Bayrou

I

Politics·security

Iran in possession of nuclear weapons by EoY?

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

W
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2023?

Politics·Strait of Hormuz

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2023?

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4,700
Ended

No

W
Will Trump end USAID in first 100 days?

Politics·Trump 100 Days

Will Trump end USAID in first 100 days?

$432k Vol.
$0 Liq.
36
Ended

No

W
Will the ICJ find Israel guilty of genocide before April?

Politics·icj

Will the ICJ find Israel guilty of genocide before April?

$36k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended

No

W
Will Ukraine receive F-16s by end of January?

Politics·Ukraine

Will Ukraine receive F-16s by end of January?

$22k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended

No

U
US call for Gaza ceasefire before February?

Politics·us

US call for Gaza ceasefire before February?

$49k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

W
Will US attack Iran by February 15?

Politics·us

Will US attack Iran by February 15?

$237k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ended

No

W
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in February?

Politics·Venezuela

Will Venezuela invade Guyana in February?

$61k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

W
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10?

Politics·international relations

Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10?

$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
18
Ended

No

W
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31?

Politics·Sweden

Will Sweden join NATO by January 31?

$45k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

I
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30?

Politics·ceasefire

Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30?

$149k Vol.
$0 Liq.
23
Ended

Yes

W
Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY?

Politics·hamas

Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY?

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

W
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?

Politics·Sweden

Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?

$429k Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended

No

W

Politics·war

Will Iran officially join the war in 2023?

$28k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

W
Will Russia invade Alaska before March?

Politics·Russia

Will Russia invade Alaska before March?

$31k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Y
Yahya Sinwar still at large through February?

Politics·yahya sinwar

Yahya Sinwar still at large through February?

$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

Yes

W
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30?

Politics·international relations

Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30?

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

No

W
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days?

Politics·ceasefire

Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days?

$35k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

Yes

W
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March?

Politics·Israel

Will Israel invade Lebanon before March?

$409k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No