International Relations Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
$1.1m Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in about 5 hours
$1.1m Vol.$20k Liq.1Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
$50k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$50k Vol.$54k Liq.Ends in 9 months
65%
Yes
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
$600k Vol.
$19k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$600k Vol.$19k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
11%
December 31, 2026
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
$58k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$58k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
$1.7m Vol.
$41k Liq.
34
Ends in 9 months
$1.7m Vol.$41k Liq.34Ends in 9 months
16%
December 31, 2026
16%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$13k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?
$98k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$98k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
$153k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$153k Vol.$12k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$369k Vol.
$150k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$369k Vol.$150k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
57%
Pakistan
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
$90k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$90k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
Sports · Games
International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 1) - More Markets
$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$2k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Sports · Games
International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 2) - More Markets
$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$25k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$100k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$12k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
Sports · Games
International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 3) - More Markets
$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$2k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$64k Vol.
$13k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$64k Vol.$13k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
42%
Yes
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$33k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$33k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
47%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
$8.7m Vol.
$561k Liq.
🔥$304k today
326
Ends in about 5 hours
$8.7m Vol.🔥$304k today$561k Liq.326Ends in about 5 hours
78%
December 31
Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?
$126k Vol.
$14k Liq.
21
Ends in about 5 hours
$126k Vol.$14k Liq.21Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes