International Relations Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
T
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
$53k Vol.
$69k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$53k Vol.$69k Liq.Ends in 9 months
48%
Yes
T
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?
$722 Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$722 Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
I
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
$601k Vol.
$19k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$601k Vol.$19k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
12%
December 31, 2026
I
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
$58k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$58k Vol.$11k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes
I
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
$1.7m Vol.
$38k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$1.7m Vol.$38k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
16%
December 31, 2026
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$540k Vol.
$16k Liq.
🔥$119k today
173
$540k Vol.🔥$119k today$16k Liq.173
17%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$50k Vol.
$8k Liq.
14
Ends in 27 days
$50k Vol.$8k Liq.14Ends in 27 days
18%
Yes
I
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
$162k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$162k Vol.$14k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
W
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$492k Vol.
$175k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$492k Vol.$175k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
43%
No Meeting by June 30
U
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
$1.3m Vol.
$73k Liq.
🔥$69k today
Ended
$1.3m Vol.🔥$69k today$73k Liq.Ended
59%
June 30
I
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
$91k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$91k Vol.$43k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
I
Sports · Games
International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 1) - More Markets
$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$2k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
I
Sports · Games
International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 2) - More Markets
$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$25k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$102k Vol.
$23k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$23k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
I
Sports · Games
International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 3) - More Markets
$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$2k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$77k Vol.
$21k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$77k Vol.$21k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
50%
Yes
W
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
$243 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$243 Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 3 months
35%
Yes
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$103k Vol.
$57k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$103k Vol.$57k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
J
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?
$275k Vol.
$44k Liq.
6
Ends in 27 days
$275k Vol.$44k Liq.6Ends in 27 days
14%
April 30