Launches Predictions & Odds· 646 markets
H
57%
13
H
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
$246k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$246k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 9 months
35%
140-159
H
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$403k Vol.
$18k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$403k Vol.$18k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
66%
<5
C
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$1.5m Vol.
$88k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$1.5m Vol.$88k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
C
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
$544k Vol.
$68k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$544k Vol.$68k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
W
Will MegaETH launch a token by ___?
$254k Vol.
$41k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$254k Vol.$41k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
83%
December 31, 2026
C
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
$209k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$209k Vol.$39k Liq.Ends in 9 months
23%
Yes
W
93%
December 31, 2026
W
43%
December 31, 2026
W
Will Opensea launch a token by ___?
$1.4m Vol.
$37k Liq.
58
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$37k Liq.58Ends in 9 months
64%
December 31, 2026
W
Will Pacifica launch a token by ___ ?
$156k Vol.
$3k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$156k Vol.$3k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
45%
December 31 2026
W
Will Tempo launch a token by ___ ?
$744k Vol.
$7k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$744k Vol.$7k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
39%
December 31, 2026
U
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
$63k Vol.
$26k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$63k Vol.$26k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
38%
Yes
W
10%
Yes
W
37%
December 31, 2026
W
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$10k Vol.$3k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
49%
Yes
I
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
$91k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$91k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
W
Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?
$181k Vol.
$3k Liq.
19
Ends in 9 months
$181k Vol.$3k Liq.19Ends in 9 months
69%
December 31, 2026
G
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
$463k Vol.
$27k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$463k Vol.$27k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes