Lebannon Predictions & Odds· 170 markets
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
$133k Vol.
$16k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
$133k Vol.$16k Liq.19Ends in 3 months
66%
Yes
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
$4k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$4k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
96%
April 2
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
$3.6m Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$3.6m Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
99%
March 30
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
$213k Vol.
$125k Liq.
13
Ends in 2 months
$213k Vol.$125k Liq.13Ends in 2 months
14%
Lebanese Forces (LF)
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
$16 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$16 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$163k Vol.
$126k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$163k Vol.$126k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
98%
Bahrain
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$33k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$33k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
70%
April 1
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
$58k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$58k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$119k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$119k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
99%
March 30
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
$71k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$71k Vol.$19k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
6%
April 30
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?
$3k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$3k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
11%
Yes
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$182k Liq.
🔥$296k today
Ends in about 12 hours
$3.6m Vol.🔥$296k today$182k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
96%
Bahrain
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
$874k Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$874k Vol.$76k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
28%
December 31
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?
$141k Vol.
$14k Liq.
15
Ends in about 12 hours
$141k Vol.$14k Liq.15Ends in about 12 hours
1%
Yes
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
$336k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$336k Vol.$45k Liq.Ends in 9 months
29%
Somaliland
Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
$89k Vol.
$48k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$89k Vol.$48k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
11%
Tunisia
Yes
Yes
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?
$100k Vol.
$0 Liq.
120
Ended
$100k Vol.$0 Liq.120Ended
No