Legal Predictions & Odds· 268 markets

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

$931k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

56%

December 31

Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

$354k Vol.
$92k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months

3%

Citigroup

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

$9.1m Vol.
$153k Liq.
264
Ends in 9 months

16%

Yes

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

$227k Vol.
$66k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months

13%

June 30

Will anyone charged over daycare fraud in MN be deported by March 31?

Will anyone charged over daycare fraud in MN be deported by March 31?

$35k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in about 13 hours

0%

Yes

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

$229k Vol.
$28k Liq.
5
Ends in 22 days

84%

Yes

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

$113k Vol.
$13k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

$126k Vol.
$122k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

28%

0

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

$1.0m Vol.
$54k Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months

33%

December 31

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

$83k Vol.
$11k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months

5%

Yes

Prince Andrew charged by March 31?

Prince Andrew charged by March 31?

$30k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in about 13 hours

1%

Yes

Will Trump cap credit card interest rates by...?

Will Trump cap credit card interest rates by...?

$19k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 13 hours

1%

Yes

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

$55k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

13%

Yes

Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

$13k Vol.
$8k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months

21%

Yes

Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?

Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?

$8k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

5%

Yes

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

$50k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

65%

Yes

Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?

Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?

$69k Vol.
$13k Liq.
17
Ends in about 13 hours

1%

Yes

Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31?

Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31?

$71k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours

0%

Yes

NATO dissolves before 2027?

NATO dissolves before 2027?

$56k Vol.
$20k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months

7%

Yes

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

$1.1m Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours

0%

Yes