Legal Predictions & Odds· 268 markets

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
$931k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$931k Vol.$9k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
55%
December 31

Which banks will fail by June 30?
$355k Vol.
$94k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$355k Vol.$94k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
2%
Scotiabank

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
$9.1m Vol.
$156k Liq.
264
Ends in 9 months
$9.1m Vol.$156k Liq.264Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes

Will anyone charged over daycare fraud in MN be deported by March 31?
$35k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in about 8 hours
$35k Vol.$8k Liq.3Ends in about 8 hours
0%
Yes

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$227k Vol.
$46k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$227k Vol.$46k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
12%
June 30

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$229k Vol.
$28k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days
$229k Vol.$28k Liq.5Ends in 21 days
84%
Yes

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
$126k Vol.
$120k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$126k Vol.$120k Liq.Ends in 9 months
30%
0

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
$83k Vol.
$10k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$83k Vol.$10k Liq.15Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
$55k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$55k Vol.$11k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
$113k Vol.
$12k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$113k Vol.$12k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes

Prince Andrew charged by March 31?
$30k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in about 8 hours
$30k Vol.$8k Liq.3Ends in about 8 hours
1%
Yes

Insurrection Act invoked by...?
$1.0m Vol.
$44k Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
$1.0m Vol.$44k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
33%
December 31

Will Rami leave Babymonster?
$15k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 8 hours
$15k Vol.$2k Liq.1Ends in about 8 hours
2%
Yes

Will Trump nationalize elections?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes

Will Trump cap credit card interest rates by...?
$19k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 8 hours
$19k Vol.$1k Liq.1Ends in about 8 hours
1%
Yes

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
$50k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$50k Vol.$54k Liq.Ends in 9 months
67%
Yes

Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31?
$71k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$71k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
0%
Yes

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
$1.1m Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$1.1m Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
0%
Yes

US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?
$988 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$988 Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
9%
Yes

Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?
$69k Vol.
$12k Liq.
17
Ends in about 8 hours
$69k Vol.$12k Liq.17Ends in about 8 hours
1%
Yes