Local Elections Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

A
AFD deaths foul play confirmed in 2025?

Politics · Culture

AFD deaths foul play confirmed in 2025?

No

$475k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
W
Will the Nepalese government fall by September 30?

No

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
L
Lisbon Mayoral Election

Carlos Moedas

$95k Vol.
$0 Liq.
22
Ended
Z
Zohran Mamdani arrested before September?

Trump · Trump Presidency

Zohran Mamdani arrested before September?

No

$71k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
I
Iceland Legislative Election

Social Democrats (S)

$308k Vol.
$0 Liq.
139
Ended
G
Ghana Legislative Election

NDC

$97k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
R
Romania Parliamentary Election

PSD

$3.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
742
Ended
S
Spanish Election

All

Spanish Election

Will PP win a plurality?

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Sri Lanka Parliamentary Election

NPP

$84k Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended
I
Ireland General Election

Fianna Fáil (FF)

$1.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
683
Ended
E
Ecuador Presidential Election

Daniel Noboa (ADN)

$4.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,324
Ended
W
When will UK election be held?

August or earlier

$83k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
P
Portugal Legislative Election

Chega >18% of votes?

$82k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
E
EU Election: Which party will win the most seats?

EPP

$30k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
U
UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

UK Election · Global Elections

UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

30-35%

$113k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
#
# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

<125

$283k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
I
Italian Referendum

Italian Referendum

Citizenship Residency Requirement

$223k Vol.
$0 Liq.
44
Ended
(
(Old) Romania Election

eu · Europe

(Old) Romania Election

Other (incl. Georgescu)

$371.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
10,491
Ended
#
# of Labour seats after UK Election? (325-450)

400-424

$195k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended