Machine Learning Predictions & Odds· 111 markets
New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?
$756 Vol.
$680 Liq.
Ended
$756 Vol.$680 Liq.Ended
1%
Yes
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
$145k Vol.
$2k Liq.
17
Ended
$145k Vol.$2k Liq.17Ended
75%
Yes
100%
War Machine
1%
Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story
1%
Trap House
1%
The Captive
46%
Yes
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$241k Vol.
$8k Liq.
32
Ended
$241k Vol.$8k Liq.32Ended
37%
December 31, 2026
7%
December 31, 2026
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
$27k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$27k Vol.$1k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
29%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$30k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
$30k Vol.$15k Liq.4Ends in 30 days
39%
April 30
7%
Yes
24%
Isfahan nuclear facility
What will Apple (AAPL) hit in April 2026?
$2k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
94%
↓ $248
Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?
$495k Vol.
$57k Liq.
4
Ended
$495k Vol.$57k Liq.4Ended
100%
OpenAI
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$4k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$4k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
60%
April 17
What will Microsoft (MSFT) hit in April 2026?
$25k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$25k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
97%
↓ $390