Marginfi Predictions & Odds· 112 markets

B
Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

$20k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 17 days

45%

PB 5-10%

P
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

$8k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

47%

Keiko Fujimori 5%+

W
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

$45k Vol.
$3k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months

11%

Yes

H
Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

$1.3m Vol.
$171k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

41%

Tisza 9%+

H
Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)

$2k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

45%

Tisza <9%

T
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

$43k Vol.
$102k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months

30%

Paxton 9%+

B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

$207k Vol.
$73k Liq.
7
Ends in 6 months

41%

Lula da Silva <5%

I
Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

$18k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ended

98%

Stratton 6–9%

2
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

$28k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

46%

Other

W
Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

$358k Vol.
$92k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months

2%

Deutsche Bank

C
Counter-Strike: Avanti Esport vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Avanti Esport vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

$587 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

GamerLegion

C
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs SemperFi Esports (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffs

counter strike 2 · Games

Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs SemperFi Esports (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffs

$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 24 minutes
C
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs B8 (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs B8 (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs

$7k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours

4%

Falcons Force

I
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

Middle East · Iran Regime

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

$118k Vol.
$25k Liq.
31
Ends in 28 days

13%

April 30

C
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

$8k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 3 days

64%

PARIVISION

W
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by...?

Will Russia capture Sofiivka by...?

$92k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 28 days

23%

Yes

A
AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

$2.5m Vol.
$13k Liq.
102
Ends in 9 months

20%

Yes

C
Counter-Strike: FengDa Gaming vs Just Swing (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #3 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: FengDa Gaming vs Just Swing (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #3 Playoffs

$0 Vol.
$510 Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours

62%

FengDa Gaming

W
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$15k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

85%

Anthropic

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$894 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

6%

Yes