Mayor Predictions & Odds· 407 markets

Los Angeles Mayoral Election
$772k Vol.
$105k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
$772k Vol.$105k Liq.1Ends in 2 months
43%
Karen Bass

NYC Mayor # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$20k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
$20k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 20 hours
91%
20-39

NYC Mayor # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$16k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$16k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 4 days
60%
20-39

NYC Mayor # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$942 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$942 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 8 days
47%
20-39

Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
$43k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$43k Vol.$20k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes

Eric Adams arrested by March 31?
$16k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 4 hours
$16k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 4 hours
0%
Yes

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
$9.1m Vol.
$651k Liq.
🔥$911k today
16
Ends in 2 months
$9.1m Vol.🔥$911k today$651k Liq.16Ends in 2 months
80%
Chong Won-oh

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$24k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$24k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
19%
Yes

Incheon Mayoral Election Winner
$2.4m Vol.
$116k Liq.
5
Ends in 2 months
$2.4m Vol.$116k Liq.5Ends in 2 months
93%
Park Chan-dae

2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner
$2.1m Vol.
$152k Liq.
3
Ends in 2 months
$2.1m Vol.$152k Liq.3Ends in 2 months
95%
Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner
$241k Vol.
$94k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$241k Vol.$94k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
72%
Chun Jae-soo

89%
Ras Baraka

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$5k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes

Mamdani removes Jessica Tisch as NYC Police Commissioner by March 31?
$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$1k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
1%
Yes

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$18k Vol.
$28k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
$18k Vol.$28k Liq.17Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)

Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
$100k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 3 months
47%
Janeese Lewis George

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
$55k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$55k Vol.$11k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
$212k Vol.
$14k Liq.
61
Ends in 3 months
$212k Vol.$14k Liq.61Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes

67%
James Talarico - TX-Sen

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
$240k Vol.
$17k Liq.
27
Ends in 9 months
$240k Vol.$17k Liq.27Ends in 9 months
42%
Yes