Model Predictions & Odds· 162 markets
W
Which company has the best AI model end of April?
$3.1m Vol.
$619k Liq.
🔥$330k today
Ends in 28 days
$3.1m Vol.🔥$330k today$619k Liq.Ends in 28 days
95%
Anthropic
W
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$853k Vol.
$152k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$853k Vol.$152k Liq.Ends in 28 days
90%
Anthropic
W
Which company has best AI model end of June?
$3.0m Vol.
$375k Liq.
65
Ends in 3 months
$3.0m Vol.$375k Liq.65Ends in 3 months
65%
Anthropic
W
Which company has the third best AI model end of April?
$119k Vol.
$97k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$119k Vol.$97k Liq.Ends in 28 days
71%
W
Which company has the second best AI model end of April?
$21k Vol.
$90k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$21k Vol.$90k Liq.Ends in 28 days
88%
Anthropic
W
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$15k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$15k Vol.$57k Liq.Ends in 28 days
85%
Anthropic
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
$1.4m Vol.
$56k Liq.
24
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.$56k Liq.24Ends in 3 months
28%
OpenAI
W
Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$9k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$9k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in 28 days
50%
W
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
$335k Vol.
$107k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
$335k Vol.$107k Liq.53Ends in 3 months
51%
Anthropic
W
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
$71k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$71k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
W
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
$926k Vol.
$174k Liq.
24
Ends in 3 months
$926k Vol.$174k Liq.24Ends in 3 months
51%
Anthropic
M
Meta "Mango" model released by...?
$22k Vol.
$4k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$22k Vol.$4k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
37%
Yes
A
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
$27k Vol.
$5k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$27k Vol.$5k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
32%
Yes
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$2k Vol.$5k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
C
57%
June 30
A
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$191k Vol.
$23k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$191k Vol.$23k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
96%
35%+
C
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?
$67k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$67k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
48%
↑ 1550
X
xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$16k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$16k Vol.$3k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
72%
25%+
A
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$56k Vol.
$2k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$56k Vol.$2k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
74%
Yes
O
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$18k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$18k Vol.$1k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
41%
60%+