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Nate Silve Predictions & Odds· 353 markets

AllPoliticsUSA ElectionTrumpU.S. PoliticsCultureUS ElectionSwing StatesRFK538KamalaFivethirtyeightTrending MarketsHarrisRcpPollingNate SilveNate SilverHorse RaceGaySteinQueerMovMargin Of VictoryGreenTurnoutExit PollDemographicsAPJillKennedyRobertLibertarianTransElection NightVotesCalledThirdTwoCreatorsTrump PresidencyApprovalRecurringClavicularRewards 10, 4.5, 50ApprovalsU.S. X Iran
Trump approval rating on April 3?

Politics·Rewards 50, 4.5, 20

Trump approval rating on April 3?

$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 4 days

45%

39.5–39.9

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Politics·Trump

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

$5k Vol.
$709 Liq.
Ends in 4 days

48%

Up

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

Politics·Trump Presidency

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

$3k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

13%

↑ 44%

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

Politics·Trump

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

$41k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

32%

35%

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Culture·Clavicular

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

$360 Vol.
$1k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

17%

Yes

Kamala flips Trump on Silver Bulletin by Sept 30?

Politics·nate silve

Kamala flips Trump on Silver Bulletin by Sept 30?

$347k Vol.
$0 Liq.
37
Ended

Yes

Trump Silver Bulletin odds >60% Friday?

Politics·nate silve

Trump Silver Bulletin odds >60% Friday?

$151k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

Trump flips Kamala on Silver Bulletin before the election?

Politics·Nate Silver

Trump flips Kamala on Silver Bulletin before the election?

$184k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

Yes

Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% Friday?

Politics·Polling

Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% Friday?

$39k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended

No

Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >60% on Friday?

Politics·Nate Silver

Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >60% on Friday?

$209k Vol.
$0 Liq.
22
Ended

No

Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday?

Politics·Polling

Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday?

$207k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

No

Trump approval rating on March 28?

Politics·Approval

Trump approval rating on March 28?

$308k Vol.
$0 Liq.
528
Ended

47.0-47.4

Trump approval rating on March 14?

Politics·Trump

Trump approval rating on March 14?

$96k Vol.
$0 Liq.
528
Ended

47.5-47.9%

Trump approval rating on March 21?

Politics·Trump

Trump approval rating on March 21?

$162k Vol.
$0 Liq.
528
Ended

47.5-47.9

Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?

Politics·stein

Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?

$9.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,835
Ended

Yes

Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?

Politics·USA Election

Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?

$1.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
521
Ended

Alaska

Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

Politics·USA Election

Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

$5.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
650
Ended

No

Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?

Politics·Kamala

Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?

$41k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Wisconsin

Will Trump do better with LGTBQ voters than in 2020?

Politics·queer

Will Trump do better with LGTBQ voters than in 2020?

$264k Vol.
$0 Liq.
20
Ended

No

Associated Press declares winner before 3am on Nov 6?

Politics·USA Election

Associated Press declares winner before 3am on Nov 6?

$118k Vol.
$0 Liq.
20
Ended

No