Approval Predictions & Odds· 570 markets
43%
39.5–39.9
37%
Up
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
$3k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
↑ 44%
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
$41k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$41k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
32%
35%
Starmer approval Up or Down in April?
$53 Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$53 Vol.$4k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
50%
Up
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?
$92k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$92k Vol.$43k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
0%
Yes
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?
$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$5k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
16%
Yes
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?
$30k Vol.
$7k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$7k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
22%
Yes
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
$140k Vol.
$221k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$140k Vol.$221k Liq.Ends in 9 months
26%
Israel
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
$544k Vol.
$7k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$544k Vol.$7k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
23%
Yes
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31?
$23k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in about 14 hours
$23k Vol.$6k Liq.1Ends in about 14 hours
0%
Yes
California voter ID referendum passes?
$0 Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
Parlays · Hide From New
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
$26k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$26k Vol.$40k Liq.Ends in 9 months
78%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
$22k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$22k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
29%
Yes
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
$12k Vol.
$4k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$12k Vol.$4k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
35%
Yes
40.0–40.4