Trans Predictions & Odds· 466 markets
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$453k Vol.
$44k Liq.
1
Ended
$453k Vol.$44k Liq.1Ended
61%
20-24
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$611k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ended
$611k Vol.$37k Liq.Ended
4%
20+
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$8k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$8k Vol.$40k Liq.Ends in 30 days
51%
20+
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$26k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ended
$26k Vol.$10k Liq.Ended
48%
30-34
1%
Yes
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 30-Apr 5)
$970 Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$970 Vol.$41k Liq.Ends in 5 days
18%
25-29
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
$129k Vol.
$18k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$18k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$587 Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$587 Liq.19Ends in 3 months
39%
Yes
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$53k Liq.
1
Ended
$1.6m Vol.$53k Liq.1Ended
97%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$333k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$333k Vol.$49k Liq.Ends in 3 days
87%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$12k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$12k Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in 30 days
36%
0-10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.6m Vol.
$83k Liq.
🔥$102k today
104
Ends in 30 days
$1.6m Vol.🔥$102k today$83k Liq.104Ends in 30 days
21%
Yes
Cristiano Ronaldo · transfer
Which club will Cristiano Ronaldo play for next?
$33k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 months
$33k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in 5 months
28%
LA Galaxy
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.5m Vol.
$397k Liq.
🔥$543k today
215
Ends in about 22 hours
$9.5m Vol.🔥$543k today$397k Liq.215Ends in about 22 hours
38%
June 30
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.3m Vol.
$332k Liq.
🔥$134k today
123
Ended
$2.3m Vol.🔥$134k today$332k Liq.123Ended
31%
April 30
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$674k Vol.
$154k Liq.
🔥$92k today
19
Ends in 30 days
$674k Vol.🔥$92k today$154k Liq.19Ends in 30 days
27%
United States
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$31.0m Vol.
$291k Liq.
🔥$84k today
1
Ends in 9 months
$31.0m Vol.🔥$84k today$291k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$370k Vol.
$55k Liq.
🔥$55k today
40
Ends in 30 days
$370k Vol.🔥$55k today$55k Liq.40Ends in 30 days
27%
April 30
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?
$1.0m Vol.
$118k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$1.0m Vol.$118k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
32%
December 31
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
$9.1m Vol.
$149k Liq.
265
Ends in 9 months
$9.1m Vol.$149k Liq.265Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes