Trans Predictions & Odds· 264 markets

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)

53%

20-24

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

$608k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours

3%

20+

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

$7k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

64%

20+

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)

40%

30-34

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

$50k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in about 8 hours

1%

Yes

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

$129k Vol.
$27k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months

9%

Yes

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

$0 Vol.
$561 Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months

34%

Yes

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

$1.6m Vol.
$55k Liq.
🔥$210k today
Ends in about 8 hours

97%

0-10

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

$328k Vol.
$66k Liq.
🔥$158k today
Ends in 3 days

82%

0-10

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

$11k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

37%

0-10

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$1.6m Vol.
$63k Liq.
🔥$87k today
101
Ends in about 1 month

22%

Yes

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

$34k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 14 days

1%

Yes

Which club will Cristiano Ronaldo play for next?

Cristiano Ronaldo · transfer

Which club will Cristiano Ronaldo play for next?

$33k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 months

28%

LA Galaxy

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

$9.2m Vol.
$407k Liq.
🔥$651k today
216
Ends in 1 day

44%

June 30

Based FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Based FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$4.5m Vol.
$352k Liq.
🔥$552k today
76
Ends in 9 months

99%

$50M

edgeX FDV above ___ one day after launch?

edgeX FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$9.5m Vol.
$442k Liq.
🔥$410k today
148
Ends in 9 months

80%

$300M

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

$649k Vol.
$181k Liq.
🔥$310k today
16
Ends in about 1 month

25%

United States

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

$2.2m Vol.
$139k Liq.
🔥$182k today
124
Ends in about 8 hours

26%

April 30

Gensyn FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Gensyn FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$1.1m Vol.
$104k Liq.
🔥$142k today
31
Ends in 9 months

67%

$200M

Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$311k Vol.
$52k Liq.
🔥$79k today
7
Ends in 9 months

42%

$70M