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National Bureau Of Economic Research Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

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U
US recession in 2025?

Economy·Business

US recession in 2025?

$11.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
710
Ended

No

U
U.S. recession before May 2025?

Economy·National Bureau of Economic Research

U.S. recession before May 2025?

$859k Vol.
$0 Liq.
25
Ended

No

F
February Unemployment Rate - Mexico

Economy·unemployment

February Unemployment Rate - Mexico

$51k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

2.6%

W
Will a second union vote be approved by the NLRB at the Bessemer Amazon Warehouse before October 15, 2021?

All

Will a second union vote be approved by the NLRB at the Bessemer Amazon Warehouse before October 15, 2021?

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Powell say during his speech on October 14?

Economy · Mentions

What will Powell say during his speech on October 14?

$221k Vol.
$0 Liq.
72
Ended

Beige Book

A
April Unemployment Rate

Economy·Macro Indicators

April Unemployment Rate

$59k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

4.2%

J
January Unemployment Rate

Economy·Macro Indicators

January Unemployment Rate

$101k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

4.3%

W
Will US GDP shrink for a 3rd straight quarter?

All

Will US GDP shrink for a 3rd straight quarter?

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
U.S. Recession in 2024?

Finance·Business

U.S. Recession in 2024?

$876k Vol.
$0 Liq.
72
Ended

No

M
March Unemployment Rate

Economy·Macro Unemployment

March Unemployment Rate

$57k Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended

4.2%

W
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022?

All

Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022?

$105k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
August Unemployment Rate

Economy·Macro Indicators

August Unemployment Rate

$206k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

4.3%

M
May Unemployment Rate

Economy·Recurring

May Unemployment Rate

$311k Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended

4.2%

W
Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?

Politics·Trump

Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?

$68k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

No

S
September Unemployment Rate

Economy·Macro Indicators

September Unemployment Rate

$347k Vol.
$0 Liq.
23
Ended

4.3%

J
July Unemployment Rate

Economy·Macro Indicators

July Unemployment Rate

$38k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

4.2%

D
Did US GDP grow more than 2.5% in Q4 2022?

All

Did US GDP grow more than 2.5% in Q4 2022?

$520 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
Negative GDP growth in 2025?

Economy·Macro Indicators

Negative GDP growth in 2025?

$203k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

No

J
January Unemployment Rate

Economy·Macro Unemployment

January Unemployment Rate

$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended

≤4.0%

N
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?

Economy·Macro Indicators

Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?

$680k Vol.
$0 Liq.
101
Ended

Yes