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National Bureau Of Economic Research 预测与赔率· 101 个市场

全部PoliticsBusinessTrumpElectionsDemocratic PartyFedSouth KoreaArgentinaIsraelCanadaChinaGDPAIEmploymentInflationLayoffsMexicoTweet MarketsTechGlobal ElectionsUnemploymentFed RatesEconomyFOMCBlsParlaysJapanJerome PowellCpiDeficitTariffsTrade WarEconomic PolicyWorldBig TechMacro IndicatorsJobs ReportNFPNonfarm PayrollBOIRewards 10, 4.5, 50Global RatesInterest RateBanxicoDemocratic Party Of KoreaSurplus
U
US recession by end of 2026?

Economy·Economic Policy

US recession by end of 2026?

$926k 交易量
$80k 流动性
52
10 个月后结束

36%

Yes

M
March Unemployment Rate

Economy·NFP

March Unemployment Rate

$39k 交易量
$40k 流动性
3 天后结束

29%

4.4%

F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$715k 交易量
$115k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k 交易量
$134k 流动性
4 个月后结束

76%

Pause–Pause–Pause

T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech·Macro Indicators

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

$0 交易量
$130 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

82%

Up

H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

Economy·NFP

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

$336k 交易量
$25k 流动性
17
9 个月后结束

64%

5.0%

U
US Trade Deficit in 2026?

Economy·Trump

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

$1k 交易量
$8k 流动性
11 个月后结束

34%

800–900B

C
China Annual Inflation 2026

Economy·Macro Indicators

China Annual Inflation 2026

$30k 交易量
$41k 流动性
9 个月后结束

29%

<-1.0%

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$392k 交易量
$97k 流动性
23
29 天后结束

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
February Unemployment Rate - Japan

Economy·unemployment

February Unemployment Rate - Japan

$42k 交易量
$6k 流动性
已结束

100%

2.6%

G
GDP growth in 2026

Economy·Economic Policy

GDP growth in 2026

$25k 交易量
$15k 流动性
8
10 个月后结束

61%

>2.5%

#
# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

Politics·South Korea

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

$20k 交易量
$25k 流动性
2 个月后结束

56%

10+

T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

Tech·AI

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

$6k 交易量
$1k 流动性
已结束

5%

Up

W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Economy·Canada

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

$5k 交易量
$2k 流动性
2
11 个月后结束

12%

Yes

B
Bank of Israel Decision in July?

Economy·Israel

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

$0 交易量
$265 流动性
3 个月后结束

50%

No Change

B
Bank of Mexico Decision in June

Economy·Global Rates

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

$0 交易量
$24 流动性
3 个月后结束

48%

Increase

W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Politics·Tweet Markets

White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

$773 交易量
$6k 流动性
10 天后结束

46%

160-179

M
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

Economy·Inflation

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

$34k 交易量
$10k 流动性
9 个月后结束

33%

4.00% to 4.49%

A
Argentina Monthly Inflation - March

Economy·rewards 10, 4.5, 50

Argentina Monthly Inflation - March

$15k 交易量
$13k 流动性
14 天后结束

69%

3.1–3.3%

W
White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

Politics·Rewards 50, 4.5, 100

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

$250k 交易量
$11k 流动性
🔥$101k 今日
大约 9 小时后结束

97%

160-179