Natural Disaster Predictions & Odds· 178 markets
N
30%
Yes
M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$140k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$140k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
9
Ends in 12 months
$38k Vol.$19k Liq.9Ends in 12 months
11%
Yes
5
37%
Yes
M
Weather · earthquake
Megaquake by June 30?
$37k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$37k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 3 months
24%
Yes
N
Natural Disaster · Science
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
$329k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$329k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
41%
Yes
W
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
$12k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$12k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
7%
Yes
W
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
$36k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in about 2 months
$36k Vol.$5k Liq.4Ends in about 2 months
7%
Yes
H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$677k Vol.
$17k Liq.
9
Ends in 12 months
$677k Vol.$17k Liq.9Ends in 12 months
45%
1
H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
$1.8m Vol.
$61k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$1.8m Vol.$61k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
82%
8+
H
How many Tornadoes in the US in March?
$180k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$180k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 8 days
100%
150+
H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.1m Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
14–16
9
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$174k Vol.
$8k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$174k Vol.$8k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
W
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$315k Vol.
$4k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$315k Vol.$4k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
33%
Yes
1
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$530k Vol.
$28k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$530k Vol.$28k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
H
Natural Disasters · Weather
How many Tornadoes in the US in April?
$747 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$747 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
48%
350+
H
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
$46k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$11k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
53%
1250+
C
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs
$16k Vol.
$116k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$16k Vol.$116k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
28%
Team Nemesis
L
Esports · league of legends
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular Season
$12 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$12 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 2 days
76%
Ground Zero Gaming
D
Esports · Dota 2
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs NGNB (BO3) - BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
$6 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$6 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
89%
Yakult Brothers