O1 Predictions & Odds· 114 markets

o1 FDV above ___ one day after launch?

o1 FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$57k Vol.
$57k Liq.
3
Ends in almost 2 years

59%

$100M

Will o1 launch a token by ___?

Will o1 launch a token by ___?

$9k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years

53%

March 31, 2027

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$375k Vol.
$16k Liq.
62

15%

Isfahan nuclear facility

What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model?

What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model?

$10.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

December 11

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

$2.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

December 13

Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?

Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?

$482k Vol.
$0 Liq.
18
Ended

No

Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?

Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?

$256k Vol.
$0 Liq.
148
Ended

Yes

ChatGPT o3 released by Friday?

ChatGPT o3 released by Friday?

$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

Yes

Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?

Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?

$315k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

Yes

ChatGPT o3 released today?

ChatGPT o3 released today?

$19k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended

Yes

NBA Finals Game 1: Player Props

NBA · Basketball

NBA Finals Game 1: Player Props

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Luka Doncic O/U 31.5 Points

Trump RNC Speech: O/U 1 hour?

RNC · Breaking News

Trump RNC Speech: O/U 1 hour?

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Over

Stanley Cup Finals: Game 1

NHL · Hockey

Stanley Cup Finals: Game 1

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Panthers

'Oppenheimer' opening weekend

All

'Oppenheimer' opening weekend

$202k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

>$50 million

First cat to $1b?

First cat to $1b?

$4.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

POPCAT

NBA Draft: 1st Pick

NBA · Sports

NBA Draft: 1st Pick

$20k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Zaccharie Risacher

NBA Finals Game 1: Over/Under 215.5 Points

NBA · Basketball

NBA Finals Game 1: Over/Under 215.5 Points

$818 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Under

NCAA Tournament: How many #1 seeds in Semifinals?

March Madness · Sports

NCAA Tournament: How many #1 seeds in Semifinals?

$185k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

2

1,000+ Delta flight cancelations today?

1,000+ Delta flight cancelations today?

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No