Osintdefender Predictions & Odds· 100 markets
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
$362k Vol.
$123k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$362k Vol.$123k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
4%
June 30
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by...?
$12k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$16k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
36%
April 30
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$100k Vol.
$16k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$16k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$129k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?
$57k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$57k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
63%
April 30
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$578 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$578 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
47%
60-79
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$143k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$143k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
21%
December 31
Middle East · Iran Regime
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
$102k Vol.
$13k Liq.
27
Ends in about 1 month
$102k Vol.$13k Liq.27Ends in about 1 month
21%
April 30
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$78k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 15 days
51%
April 15
Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?
$3k Vol.
$727 Liq.
2
Ends in about 7 hours
$3k Vol.$727 Liq.2Ends in about 7 hours
2%
Yes
Culture · Politics
Taliban blackmail of D.C. shooter confirmed by March 31?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 7 hours
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in about 7 hours
2%
Yes
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by...?
$75k Vol.
$21k Liq.
4
Ends in about 7 hours
$75k Vol.$21k Liq.4Ends in about 7 hours
9%
April 30
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$22k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$22k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
28%
Yes
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
$61k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$61k Vol.$56k Liq.Ends in 9 months
49%
December 31
Ukraine hits Moscow by...?
$139k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$139k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
12%
April 30
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 8 days
32%
<5
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$3k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 4 days
40%
60-79