Osintdefender Predictions & Odds· 100 markets
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
$364k Vol.
$146k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$364k Vol.$146k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
5%
June 30
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by...?
$12k Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days
$12k Vol.$8k Liq.1Ends in 30 days
27%
April 30
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$100k Vol.
$11k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$11k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
26%
Yes
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$129k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$14k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$635 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$635 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
48%
60-79
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$132k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$132k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
20%
December 31
Middle East · Iran Regime
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
$105k Vol.
$12k Liq.
27
Ends in 30 days
$105k Vol.$12k Liq.27Ends in 30 days
17%
April 30
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
$79k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$79k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 15 days
51%
April 15
Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?
$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ended
$4k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ended
1%
Yes
Culture · Politics
Taliban blackmail of D.C. shooter confirmed by March 31?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ended
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ended
3%
Yes
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes
8%
April 30
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$24k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$7k Liq.Ended
17%
Yes
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
$61k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$61k Vol.$38k Liq.Ends in 9 months
49%
December 31
12%
April 30
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 8 days
35%
<5
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$3k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 4 days
42%
60-79