Outage Predictions & Odds· 205 markets
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
2%
Yes
8%
Yes
Middle East · Iran Regime
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
$102k Vol.
$13k Liq.
27
Ends in about 1 month
$102k Vol.$13k Liq.27Ends in about 1 month
21%
April 30
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
$345k Vol.
$22k Liq.
23
Ends in 3 months
$345k Vol.$22k Liq.23Ends in 3 months
69%
June 30
Critical Discord Incident by April 30?
$2k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
Will Claude go down on __ days in April?
$9k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
42%
9-11
AWS service disrupted by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$13k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
5%
Yes
AWS service disrupted by April 30?
$730 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$730 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
54%
Yes
2%
Yes
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on March 30?
$7k Vol.
$341 Liq.
Ends in about 3 hours
$7k Vol.$341 Liq.Ends in about 3 hours
50%
Up
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on March 30?
$28k Vol.
$7 Liq.
Ends in about 3 hours
$28k Vol.$7 Liq.Ends in about 3 hours
49%
Up
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on March 30?
$2k Vol.
$403 Liq.
Ends in about 3 hours
$2k Vol.$403 Liq.Ends in about 3 hours
38%
Up
Meta (META) Up or Down on March 30?
$1k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 3 hours
$1k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 3 hours
94%
Up
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on March 30?
$1k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 3 hours
$1k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 3 hours
14%
Up
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on March 30?
$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$1k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
77%
Up
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on March 30?
$864 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 3 hours
$864 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 3 hours
16%
Up
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on March 30?
$589 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 3 hours
$589 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 3 hours
19%
Up
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on March 30?
$392 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 3 hours
$392 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 3 hours
94%
Up
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on March 30?
$2k Vol.
$23 Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$2k Vol.$23 Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
92%
Up