Poll Predictions & Odds· 113 markets
40%
39.5–39.9
24%
Up
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
$3k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
↑ 44%
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
$41k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$41k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
32%
35%
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?
$1k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
51%
Up
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 7 months
16%
Yes
Politics
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
$20k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$20k Vol.$9k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?
$23k Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$23k Vol.$4k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
52%
ThreadGuy
Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election
$120k Vol.
$20k Liq.
88
Ended
$120k Vol.$20k Liq.88Ended
77%
70–75%
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$229k Vol.
$27k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days
$229k Vol.$27k Liq.5Ends in 21 days
84%
Yes
Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election
$84k Vol.
$45k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
$84k Vol.$45k Liq.1Ends in 12 days
45%
71–74%
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$97k Vol.
$24k Liq.
57
Ended
$97k Vol.$24k Liq.57Ended
54%
59-60%
Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote
$31k Vol.
$47k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
$31k Vol.$47k Liq.1Ends in 12 days
30%
50-54%
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
68%
55-60%
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$227k Vol.
$66k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$227k Vol.$66k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
12%
June 30
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$206k Vol.
$59k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
$206k Vol.$59k Liq.6Ends in 6 months
39%
Lula da Silva <5%
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 7 months
78%
Yes