Poll Predictions & Odds· 113 markets

38%
39.0–39.4

12%
Up

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
$3k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
↑ 44%

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
$41k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$41k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 9 months
32%
35%

Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?
$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes

51%
Up

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
$0 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 7 months
16%
Yes

Politics
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
$20k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$20k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes

Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?
$23k Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$23k Vol.$4k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
54%
ThreadGuy

Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election
$124k Vol.
$12k Liq.
89
Ended
$124k Vol.$12k Liq.89Ended
58%
70–75%

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$229k Vol.
$43k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days
$229k Vol.$43k Liq.5Ends in 21 days
84%
Yes

Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election
$84k Vol.
$66k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
$84k Vol.$66k Liq.1Ends in 12 days
46%
71–74%

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$97k Vol.
$22k Liq.
57
Ended
$97k Vol.$22k Liq.57Ended
50%
59-60%

Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote
$31k Vol.
$78k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
$31k Vol.$78k Liq.1Ends in 12 days
29%
50-54%

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes

67%
55-60%

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$227k Vol.
$17k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$227k Vol.$17k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
12%
June 30

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$206k Vol.
$83k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
$206k Vol.$83k Liq.6Ends in 6 months
40%
Lula da Silva <5%

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 7 months
78%
Yes
