Primary Election Predictions & Odds· 498 markets

90%
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
$378k Vol.
$445k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
$378k Vol.$445k Liq.1Ends in 2 months
65%
Eric Swalwell

98%
Stratton 6–9%

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?
$45k Vol.
$29k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$45k Vol.$29k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
69%
Dem-Rep

Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
$100k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 3 months
47%
Kenyan McDuffie

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?
$36k Vol.
$108k Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
$36k Vol.$108k Liq.2Ends in 5 months
80%
Tom Begich

Will Ken Paxton drop out?
$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$5k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
5%
Yes

Iowa Governor Democratic Primary Winner
$357k Vol.
$40k Liq.
🔥$245k today
Ends in 2 months
$357k Vol.🔥$245k today$40k Liq.Ends in 2 months
97%
Rob Sand

Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner
$504k Vol.
$93k Liq.
🔥$205k today
1
Ends in 3 months
$504k Vol.🔥$205k today$93k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
53%
Dan Cox

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner
$245k Vol.
$60k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$245k Vol.$60k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
44%
Genter Drummond

Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner
$287k Vol.
$138k Liq.
4
Ends in 4 months
$287k Vol.$138k Liq.4Ends in 4 months
54%
Lisa Demuth

Ohio Governor Republican Primary Winner
$898k Vol.
$74k Liq.
11
Ends in about 1 month
$898k Vol.$74k Liq.11Ends in about 1 month
95%
Vivek Ramaswamy

95%
Mike Thompson

Georgia Governor Republican Primary Winner
$329k Vol.
$112k Liq.
10
Ends in about 2 months
$329k Vol.$112k Liq.10Ends in about 2 months
52%
Rick Jackson

Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner
$7k Vol.
$21k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
$7k Vol.$21k Liq.1Ends in 2 months
57%
Robert Charles

Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner
$18k Vol.
$71k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$18k Vol.$71k Liq.Ends in 2 months
34%
Nirav Shah

Massachusetts Governor Republican Primary Winner
$9k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
$9k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 5 months
47%
Michael Minogue

Kansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner
$52k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$52k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 4 months
74%
Ethan Corson

Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner
$12k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$12k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in 2 months
89%
Aaron Ford
