Primary Election Predictions & Odds· 404 markets

90%
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
$379k Vol.
$345k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
$379k Vol.$345k Liq.1Ends in 2 months
65%
Eric Swalwell

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?
$45k Vol.
$30k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$45k Vol.$30k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
69%
Dem-Rep

98%
Stratton 6–9%

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?
$36k Vol.
$70k Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
$36k Vol.$70k Liq.2Ends in 5 months
80%
Tom Begich

Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
$100k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 3 months
57%
Janeese Lewis George

Will Ken Paxton drop out?
$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$5k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
5%
Yes

Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner
$504k Vol.
$77k Liq.
🔥$161k today
1
Ends in 3 months
$504k Vol.🔥$161k today$77k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
53%
Dan Cox

Iowa Governor Democratic Primary Winner
$357k Vol.
$29k Liq.
🔥$118k today
Ends in 2 months
$357k Vol.🔥$118k today$29k Liq.Ends in 2 months
96%
Rob Sand

Ohio Governor Republican Primary Winner
$944k Vol.
$62k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month
$944k Vol.$62k Liq.12Ends in about 1 month
96%
Vivek Ramaswamy

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner
$246k Vol.
$59k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$246k Vol.$59k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
39%
Genter Drummond

Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner
$287k Vol.
$105k Liq.
4
Ends in 4 months
$287k Vol.$105k Liq.4Ends in 4 months
54%
Lisa Demuth

Oregon Governor Republican Primary Winner
$58k Vol.
$47k Liq.
3
Ends in about 2 months
$58k Vol.$47k Liq.3Ends in about 2 months
49%
Ed Diehl

Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner
$7k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
$7k Vol.$16k Liq.1Ends in 2 months
57%
Robert Charles

Georgia Governor Republican Primary Winner
$329k Vol.
$91k Liq.
10
Ends in about 2 months
$329k Vol.$91k Liq.10Ends in about 2 months
52%
Rick Jackson

Massachusetts Governor Republican Primary Winner
$9k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
$9k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 5 months
47%
Michael Minogue

Nebraska Governor Republican Primary Winner
$58k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$58k Vol.$35k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
94%
Jim Pillen

Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner
$3k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$3k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 4 months
90%
Jocelyn Benson

South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Winner
$12k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$12k Vol.$35k Liq.Ends in 2 months
52%
Dusty Johnson
