Product Launch Predictions & Odds· 112 markets
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$241k Vol.
$8k Liq.
32
Ended
$241k Vol.$8k Liq.32Ended
37%
December 31, 2026
W
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
$254k Vol.
$10k Liq.
33
Ends in 9 months
$254k Vol.$10k Liq.33Ends in 9 months
56%
Yes
C
63%
June 30, 2026
G
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
$813k Vol.
$70k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$813k Vol.$70k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
43%
June 30
G
82%
December 31, 2026
C
49%
June 30
G
20%
June 30, 2026
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$6k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
G
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
$30k Vol.
$9k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$9k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
17%
Yes
R
Prediction Markets · Business
Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?
$338k Vol.
$5k Liq.
10
Ended
$338k Vol.$5k Liq.10Ended
1%
Yes
B
Based FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$4.8m Vol.
$415k Liq.
🔥$760k today
81
Ends in 9 months
$4.8m Vol.🔥$760k today$415k Liq.81Ends in 9 months
99%
$50M
A
Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$299k Vol.
$101k Liq.
9
Ends in almost 2 years
$299k Vol.$101k Liq.9Ends in almost 2 years
47%
$200M
U
Unit FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$123k Vol.
$75k Liq.
4
Ends in almost 2 years
$123k Vol.$75k Liq.4Ends in almost 2 years
58%
$200M
D
Dual FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$1 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$1 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
48%
$20M
N
Neutrl FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$0 Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$0 Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
68%
$20M
C
Cambria FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$55k Vol.
$79k Liq.
4
Ends in almost 2 years
$55k Vol.$79k Liq.4Ends in almost 2 years
50%
$20M
M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.1m Vol.
$560k Liq.
258
Ends in 3 months
$14.1m Vol.$560k Liq.258Ends in 3 months
44%
>$600M
B
Betmoar FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$15k Vol.
$51k Liq.
3
Ends in almost 2 years
$15k Vol.$51k Liq.3Ends in almost 2 years
78%
$20M