Product Launch Predictions & Odds· 112 markets
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$241k Vol.
$8k Liq.
31
Ended
$241k Vol.$8k Liq.31Ended
44%
December 31, 2026
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
$254k Vol.
$11k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$254k Vol.$11k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
55%
Yes
Claude 5 released by…?
$2.9m Vol.
$69k Liq.
162
Ends in about 1 month
$2.9m Vol.$69k Liq.162Ends in about 1 month
75%
June 30, 2026
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
$807k Vol.
$73k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$807k Vol.$73k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
43%
June 30
50%
June 30
21%
June 30, 2026
82%
December 31, 2026
VEO 4 released by...?
$41k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in about 9 hours
$41k Vol.$15k Liq.1Ends in about 9 hours
2%
Yes
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
$30k Vol.
$9k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$9k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
17%
Yes
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$6k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
Prediction Markets · Business
Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?
$338k Vol.
$6k Liq.
9
Ends in about 9 hours
$338k Vol.$6k Liq.9Ends in about 9 hours
1%
Yes
Based FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$4.5m Vol.
$338k Liq.
🔥$531k today
75
Ends in 9 months
$4.5m Vol.🔥$531k today$338k Liq.75Ends in 9 months
99%
$50M
Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$5.1m Vol.
$84k Liq.
65
Ends in 9 months
$5.1m Vol.$84k Liq.65Ends in 9 months
69%
$50M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$444k Liq.
254
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$444k Liq.254Ends in 3 months
43%
>$600M
Theo FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$55k Vol.
$33k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$55k Vol.$33k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
43%
$100M
45%
Yes
Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$452k Vol.
$87k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$452k Vol.$87k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
50%
$250M
Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$500k Vol.
$110k Liq.
11
Ends in almost 2 years
$500k Vol.$110k Liq.11Ends in almost 2 years
65%
$2B
Makina FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$12k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$12k Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
12%
$80M