Product Launch Predictions & Odds· 112 markets
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$241k Vol.
$7k Liq.
31
Ended
$241k Vol.$7k Liq.31Ended
44%
December 31, 2026
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
$254k Vol.
$10k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$254k Vol.$10k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
55%
Yes
Claude 5 released by…?
$2.9m Vol.
$69k Liq.
162
Ends in about 1 month
$2.9m Vol.$69k Liq.162Ends in about 1 month
75%
June 30, 2026
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
$807k Vol.
$74k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$807k Vol.$74k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
43%
June 30
50%
June 30
21%
June 30, 2026
82%
December 31, 2026
VEO 4 released by...?
$41k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in about 9 hours
$41k Vol.$15k Liq.1Ends in about 9 hours
2%
Yes
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
$30k Vol.
$15k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$15k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
17%
Yes
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$11k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
Prediction Markets · Business
Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?
$338k Vol.
$6k Liq.
9
Ends in about 9 hours
$338k Vol.$6k Liq.9Ends in about 9 hours
1%
Yes
Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$5.1m Vol.
$84k Liq.
65
Ends in 9 months
$5.1m Vol.$84k Liq.65Ends in 9 months
69%
$50M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$444k Liq.
254
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$444k Liq.254Ends in 3 months
43%
>$600M
45%
Yes
o1 FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$57k Vol.
$57k Liq.
3
Ends in almost 2 years
$57k Vol.$57k Liq.3Ends in almost 2 years
59%
$100M
StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$1.2m Vol.
$129k Liq.
🔥$109k today
58
Ends in 9 months
$1.2m Vol.🔥$109k today$129k Liq.58Ends in 9 months
27%
$200M
Tabi FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$28k Vol.
$24k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$24k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
16%
$3B
Will Unit launch a token by ___ ?
$51k Vol.
$6k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$51k Vol.$6k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
52%
December 31, 2027
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$2.7m Vol.
$694k Liq.
218
Ends in almost 2 years
$2.7m Vol.$694k Liq.218Ends in almost 2 years
91%
$50M