Product Launch Predictions & Odds· 155 markets
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$241k Vol.
$7k Liq.
31
Ended
$241k Vol.$7k Liq.31Ended
45%
December 31, 2026
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
$249k Vol.
$10k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$249k Vol.$10k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
55%
Yes
Claude 5 released by…?
$2.9m Vol.
$67k Liq.
162
Ends in about 1 month
$2.9m Vol.$67k Liq.162Ends in about 1 month
76%
June 30, 2026
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
$807k Vol.
$76k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$807k Vol.$76k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
46%
June 30
50%
June 30
21%
June 30, 2026
82%
December 31, 2026
VEO 4 released by...?
$41k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in about 11 hours
$41k Vol.$14k Liq.1Ends in about 11 hours
2%
Yes
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
$30k Vol.
$14k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$14k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
17%
Yes
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$10k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
Prediction Markets · Business
Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?
$338k Vol.
$6k Liq.
9
Ends in about 11 hours
$338k Vol.$6k Liq.9Ends in about 11 hours
1%
Yes
technology · web search
Will OpenAI launch a Web Search Product by March 31?
$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$16k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
No
Other iPhone
All
Will ‘BlockFi Yield’ become available to US citizens by June 30, 2022?
$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$14k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
All · token launch
Will OpenSea launch a token or go public first?
$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$11k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Apple Watch
