Product Launch Predictions & Odds· 142 markets

Will OpenAI launch a Web Search Product by March 31?

technology · web search

Will OpenAI launch a Web Search Product by March 31?

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

What product will Apple launch on February 19?

What product will Apple launch on February 19?

$857k Vol.
$0 Liq.
117
Ended

Other iPhone

Will Apple release a new product line in 2025?

Will Apple release a new product line in 2025?

$440k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

No

Will OpenSea launch a token or go public first?

All · token launch

Will OpenSea launch a token or go public first?

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
What products will Apple launch on September 9?

What products will Apple launch on September 9?

$100k Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended

Apple Watch

zkSync airdrop by June 1?

All

zkSync airdrop by June 1?

$80k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will Arbitrum airdrop a native token before 2023?

All

Will Arbitrum airdrop a native token before 2023?

$36k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st?

All

Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st?

$5.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

Will Apple release iPhone 17 by September 9?

Will Apple release iPhone 17 by September 9?

$89k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended

No

Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?

Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?

$61k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months

Yes

GPT-5.4 released by...?

GPT-5.4 released by...?

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
146

March 16

GPT-5.3 released by...?

GPT-5.3 released by...?

$797k Vol.
$0 Liq.
175
Ends in about 13 hours

March 31

Grok 4.20 released on...?

Grok 4.20 released on...?

$663k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours

February 17

Claude 5 released on...?

Claude 5 released on...?

$663k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

No release by February 28

Grok 4.20 released on...?

Grok 4.20 released on...?

$220k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No release by February 14

GPT-5.3 released by...?

GPT-5.3 released by...?

$278k Vol.
$0 Liq.
24
Ended

February 28

Grok 4.20 released on...?

Grok 4.20 released on...?

$786k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No release by January 31

Grok 4.20 released by...?

Grok 4.20 released by...?

$844k Vol.
$0 Liq.
192

April 20

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by...?

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by...?

$5.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
528
Ended

December 31