Product Marekt Fit Predictions & Odds· 186 markets
C
43%
Yes
W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$6k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$6k Liq.13Ends in 9 months
40%
Head-mounted display
W
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
$254k Vol.
$11k Liq.
33
Ends in 9 months
$254k Vol.$11k Liq.33Ends in 9 months
56%
Yes
W
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
$81k Vol.
$6k Liq.
39
Ends in 9 months
$81k Vol.$6k Liq.39Ends in 9 months
91%
Yes
W
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?
$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ended
$10k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ended
1%
Yes
W
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$5k Vol.$3k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
W
When will Project Helix be released?
$0 Vol.
$170 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$170 Liq.Ends in 9 months
42%
May 31, 2027
W
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 3 months
59%
Yes
A
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$2k Vol.$3k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
W
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
$68k Vol.
$23k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$68k Vol.$23k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
24%
December 31
B
Brazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?
$15k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$15k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
52%
1.5%–1.8%
N
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?
$199k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ended
$199k Vol.$12k Liq.1Ended
0%
Yes
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$241k Vol.
$8k Liq.
32
Ended
$241k Vol.$8k Liq.32Ended
37%
December 31, 2026
J
Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$257 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$257 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
39%
0.0–0.2%
U
UK GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$20k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$20k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
66%
0.0-0.3%
S
34%
0.5–0.9%
W
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
$23k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$23k Vol.$3k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
R
Prediction Markets · Business
Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?
$338k Vol.
$5k Liq.
10
Ended
$338k Vol.$5k Liq.10Ended
1%
Yes
U
21%
2.5–3.0%
W
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?
$30k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 3 months
22%
June 30