Prop 50 Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
C
93%
Democratic Party
B
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
$85k Vol.
$15k Liq.
-2
Ends in 3 months
$85k Vol.$15k Liq.-2Ends in 3 months
69%
Yes
B
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$2.8m Vol.
$75k Liq.
13
Ends in 7 months
$2.8m Vol.$75k Liq.13Ends in 7 months
34%
Yes
C
93%
Democratic Party
C
93%
Democratic Party
C
94%
Democratic Party
W
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 7 months
81%
Yes
T
Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?
$971 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$971 Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 27 days
90%
Yes
C
California voter ID referendum passes?
$4k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$4k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
A
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
$28k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$13k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
C
85%
Democratic Party
M
Economy
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
C
Politics
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?
$0 Vol.
$238 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$238 Liq.Ends in 9 months
49%
Yes
C
93%
Democratic Party
W
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
$344 Vol.
$380 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$344 Vol.$380 Liq.Ends in 7 months
17%
Yes
L
Mamdani
B
By what margin will the California redistricting referendum pass?
$364k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
$364k Vol.$0 Liq.4Ended
20-30%
C
California Legislature approves redistricting referendum by August 23?
$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
$8k Vol.$0 Liq.3Ended
Yes