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Q3 Predictions & Odds· 155 markets

AllPoliticsCryptoScienceBusinessFinanceTrumpEconomy1AirdropsEconomicsBlackrockCanadaOil ProductionSaudi ArabiaGDPNon Oil IndustryQ3EnergyCultureStocksTeslaEconomyMentions2025 PredictionsTariffsTrade WarEconomic PolicyWorldMacro IndicatorsDavid FriedbergPre MarketEarnings Calls
U
US recession by end of 2026?

Economy·Economic Policy

US recession by end of 2026?

$1.0m Vol.
$69k Liq.
63
Ends in 10 months

33%

Yes

C
Canada recession before 2027?

Economy·Canada

Canada recession before 2027?

$54k Vol.
$29k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months

41%

Yes

D
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?

Finance·blackrock

Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?

$19k Vol.
$1k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month

38%

Yes

S
Saudi Arabia non-oil GDP % up in Q3?

Finance·economy1

Saudi Arabia non-oil GDP % up in Q3?

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

W
Will Tesla deliver a Cybertruck in Q3?

All

Will Tesla deliver a Cybertruck in Q3?

$141 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

5
5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?

Economy·Macro Indicators

5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?

$357k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

U
US GDP growth in Q3 2025?

Economy·Economic Policy

US GDP growth in Q3 2025?

$765k Vol.
$0 Liq.
18
Ended

>3.5%

U
US fertility rate up in Q3 2025?

Culture·Macro Indicators

US fertility rate up in Q3 2025?

$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

U
US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?

Politics·Trade War

US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?

$79k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

W
What will be said during Apple Q3 2025 earnings call?

Mentions·Business

What will be said during Apple Q3 2025 earnings call?

$22k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

Wearable

U
US GDP declines in Q3 2024?

Economy·Business

US GDP declines in Q3 2024?

$347k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

No

A
Airdrops in Q3 2025

Crypto·Airdrops

Airdrops in Q3 2025

$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
736
Ended

Linea

W
Will Saudi Arabia boost oil production in Q4?

saudi arabia · economics

Will Saudi Arabia boost oil production in Q4?

$21k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

No

W
Will US GDP shrink for a 3rd straight quarter?

All

Will US GDP shrink for a 3rd straight quarter?

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US tariff revenue up in Q4 2025?

Politics·Trade War

US tariff revenue up in Q4 2025?

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

C
Canada recession in 2025?

Economy·Economic Policy

Canada recession in 2025?

$27k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11

No

U
US recession in 2025?

Economy·Business

US recession in 2025?

$11.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
710
Ended

No

W
What will Tesla (TSLA) say during their next earnings call?

Mentions·Tesla

What will Tesla (TSLA) say during their next earnings call?

$61k Vol.
$0 Liq.
14
Ended

Robotaxi 10+ times

U
U.S. Recession in 2024?

Finance·Business

U.S. Recession in 2024?

$876k Vol.
$0 Liq.
72
Ended

No

W
When will the next recession happen in the US?

All

When will the next recession happen in the US?

$107k Vol.
$0 Liq.