Recount Predictions & Odds· 105 markets
T
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
$40k Vol.
$79k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$40k Vol.$79k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
34%
Paxton 9%+
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$206k Vol.
$74k Liq.
7
Ends in 6 months
$206k Vol.$74k Liq.7Ends in 6 months
38%
Lula da Silva <5%
P
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$7k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$7k Vol.$56k Liq.Ends in 12 days
29%
Keiko Fujimori <5%
I
98%
Stratton 6–9%
2
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$47k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other
Z
Zelenskyy # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 10 days
26%
<20
S
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
$19k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$19k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 4 months
69%
Yes
W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$171 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$171 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 10 days
45%
160-179
Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$5k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 3 days
42%
60-79
K
Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$901 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$0 Vol.$901 Liq.Ends in 10 days
26%
<5
Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$635 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$635 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 7 days
51%
60-79
Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$24k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$24k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
85%
60-79
W
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$54k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$54k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 days
36%
160-179
W
White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$15k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$15k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 7 days
35%
160-179
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$6k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
K
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$20k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$20k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 3 days
87%
<20
N
NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets
$28k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 days
$28k Vol.$1k Liq.4Ends in 7 days
38%
71–80
T
Ted Cruz # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$743 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$0 Vol.$743 Liq.Ends in 10 days
28%
120-139
W
White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$177k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$177k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
96%
160-179
K
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$2k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 7 days
43%
<5